Investment Perspectives

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The Lurking Crisis Of Bank Deposits

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There is a dispute within the eurozone over who should ultimately be responsible for guaranteeing deposits.

Fear February After Jittery January?

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With the S&P 500 down 5.1% in January, the January Barometer is getting a lot of press.

Groundhog Day

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While the odds of a U.S. recession in 2016 remain low, they have increased since the start of the year.

Tokyo Doubles Down

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Japan's move into negative interest rates has broad implications for the world.

Rich Man, Poor Man

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In the world we live in, few look at risk. Most only look at reward.

As Markets Swing, Momentum Can Be Deceiving

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Stocks continue to find support in an old friend: central bank accommodation.

Central Banks Can't Do Much More

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Central banks can't move very far into negative territory without encountering serious financial and political obstacles.

Equities Rally As Oil And Monetary Policy Remain In Focus

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Equity prices rose as markets continue to follow the lead from oil prices.

Life In The Fast Lane: Look Through The Windshield, Not The Rear View Mirror

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Recession risk is up, but beware of the cacophony of apocalyptic forecasts.

Peak Profits

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Investors should expect labor, tax and interest expense to rise faster than sales, depressing profit margins.

Why The Weak GDP Report Is Nothing To Worry About

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Growth remains positive and, on a year-to-year basis, not nearly as bad as the quarterly figure suggests.

Politics To Blame For China Stocks' Lost Decades

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The gap between China’s great long-term economic growth and its terrible market performance is explained by politics.

Reasons For The Fearful To Be Fearful Of Gold

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The price of gold and the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond have consistently moved in opposite directions since 2005.

Ron Baron: The Market Selloff Is Unprovoked

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China's growth is moderating, but in America unemployment is down and wages are rising.

So You Think You Can Time the Stock Market, Huh?

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Market timing shouldn’t be so casually dismissed by buy-and-hold investors.

There Will Be Blood … And More Of My Favorite Themes For 2016

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Commodity and credit risks dominate the risks to the benign base case for 2016.

New (And Old) Reasons To Love The Municipal Bond

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Muni returns in 2016 have the potential to match or surpass 2015 performance of 3.3 percent.

Tough Start For High-Yield

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Oil continues to be the primary driver of high-yield performance.

The Global Economy’s Marshmallow Test

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Our global goal should be economic progress, meaning better living conditions worldwide.

China’s Bumpy New Normal

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China’s shift from export-driven growth to a model based on domestic services and household consumption has been much bumpier than some anticipated.

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